Cowboys vs Texans early prediction and odds for Week 14

ARLINGTON, TX - DECEMBER 04: CeeDee Lamb #88 of the Dallas Cowboys runs with the ball against the Indianapolis Colts during the second half at AT&T Stadium on December 4, 2022 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)
ARLINGTON, TX - DECEMBER 04: CeeDee Lamb #88 of the Dallas Cowboys runs with the ball against the Indianapolis Colts during the second half at AT&T Stadium on December 4, 2022 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images) /
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. 123. . 10. . 9-3. . 1-10-1

The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a 54-19 destruction of the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday Night Football, which featured a 33-point fourth quarter that swiftly ended any thought of Indy putting up a fight.

Unfortunately for Dallas, the Eagles triumphed over the Tennessee Titans to improve to 11-1, so there’s an uphill battle to win the division. The good news? Philly will travel to the Meadowlands to face the Giants in what’s expected to be a tough matchup, while the Cowboys will host the worst team in the NFL.

The Houston Texans are on deck for Week 14, and they truly couldn’t be in a worse position. They’re 0-7 in their last seven games and have been outscored 188-102 over that span. Their lone win came over the Jaguars two months ago, and they tied the season-opener against the lowly Colts. This is a bad team.

So it’s no wonder the Cowboys opened as 14-point favorites, especially since they’ve dispatched the Vikings, Giants and Colts handily over the last three weeks. How should fans be betting this game? Well, we’ve already seen some line movement, so it warrants a closer look.

Cowboys vs Texans Odds, Spread, Moneyline for Week 14

The line has now moved three points since Sunday. The Cowboys are -17 on the spread and a ridiculous -1600 on the moneyline, via FanDuel. The over/under is 44.5 at the moment. This marks the third straight week Dallas has been favored by double-digit points (10 against the Giants, 10.5 against the Colts, and now 17 against the Texans).

The Cowboys are 8-2 against the spread over their last 10 games, with the Giants’ senseless backdoor cover late in the fourth quarter representing one of those two “losses.” The Texans, on the other hand, are 4-7-1 against the spread this year and have covered just once over the last seven weeks.

Cowboys vs Texans Prediction and Preview for Week 14

The key to dominance for Cowboys in this one will be for their defense to crush the Texans’ terrible offense, which ranks 26th in the NFL in passing and 29th in rushing. They’ve also allowed the 8th-most sacks (33), whereas the Cowboys have allowed the fewest (15) and have also sacked the opposing QB a league-high 48 times.

Houston’s pass defense is actually solid, ranking 10th in passing yards allowed … but the unit has allowed the most rushing yards in the NFL (2,029). Expect a big tone-setting afternoon with Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard having their way as Dak Prescott picks apart the Texans’ secondary after the running game opens up big pass plays.

At this juncture, there’s no possible way anybody can place a bet on the Texans. Cowboys -17 and the over (44.5) might be the way to go. If you prefer one bet, either take Dallas -17 or their team over (regardless of the number) since those will be the safest options.

**Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.**