Dallas Cowboys 2023 season betting preview: Super Bowl odds, win total prediction, prop bets
By Peter Dewey
The Dallas Cowboys won a playoff game in the 2022 season and were one of the best teams in the NFC, but they still failed to make an NFC Championship Game.
The last time Dallas did that? The 1995 season when it won the Super Bowl.
Mike McCarthy’s club looks relatively similar to last season, but one familiar face won’t be there – running back Ezekiel Elliott.
Dallas released Zeke this offseason, clearing the way for Tony Pollard to be the team’s bellcow. Rookie Deuce Vaughn figures to factor into the backfield rotation as well.
With Dak Prescott at the helm, Dallas is third in the odds to win the NFC in 2023. The conference should be weaker with Tom Brady’s retirement and Aaron Rodgers being traded to the New York Jets, but do the Cowboys have what it takes to finally get over the hump and at least reach the NFC title game?
BetSided’s NFL expert Iain MacMillan shared his favorite futures bet for the Cowboys this season, but we’re going to do a deeper dive here as well.
From Super Bowl odds to win total projections to prop bets, here’s how to wager on the Cowboys ahead of the 2023 season:
Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl 58 odds
The Cowboys come into the 2023 season with +1400 odds to win the Super Bowl, good for third in the NFC.
The issue? Dallas plays in the same division as the NFC favorite – the Philadelphia Eagles.
Still, the Cowboys finished 12-5 in the 2022 campaign, just two games back of Philly, who now has to play a first-place schedule in the 2023 season.
The key for Dallas will be health on both sides of the ball, as we’ve seen the team have a season derailed because of key injuries to players like Prescot, Pollard, Tyron Smith and others.
Either way, Dallas would be a dangerous wild card team if it doesn’t end up winning the NFC East outright. The question is whether or not bettors can trust a team that has had middling playoff success at such a short price of +1400.
If you believe in this Dallas team, it’s hard to find a more favorable path than going through the NFC in 2023.
Dallas Cowboys win total prediction for the 2023 season
Dallas is set at 9.5 wins for the 2023 season, a mark that the team has cleared in three of the last five seasons. It’s worth noting that one of those seasons that the team came up short was when Dak Prescott broke his leg and missed most of the season.
Prescott suffered an injury last season as well, but Cooper Rush did enough to keep Dallas in the mix.
In a weak NFC – and potentially a soft division if the New York Giants take a step back – I don’t mind the OVER on Dallas’ win total.
Key Cowboys offseason moves
- Released running back Ezekiel Elliott
- Franchise tagged running back Tony Pollard
- Traded for wide receiver Brandin Cooks
- Traded for cornerback Stephon Gilmore
Dallas also let tight end Dalton Schultz walk, but the team has viable replacements in Jake Ferguson and Peyton Hendershot.
The Cowboys should be able to replace most of the production that they lost in the offseason, and they did bring in some intriguing young pieces in the draft including Mazi Smith (defensive tackle, first round) and Luke Schoonmaker (tight end, second round).
Dallas Cowboys odds to win the NFC
Dallas Cowboys odds to win NFC East
Best Dallas Cowboys season-long prop bet
CeeDee Lamb OVER 1100.5 receiving yards (-110)
My favorite prop lies with Dallas No. 1 receiver CeeDee Lamb, who actually should have an easier time in 2023 with the addition of Brandin Cooks.
Lamb is +2000 to lead the league in receiving yards, but I love the OVER on his season long prop at DraftKings for 1100.5 receiving yards.
Lamb has cleared this total in the last two seasons, finishing with 1,102 yards in the 2021 campaign and 1,359 yards last season.
Oddsmakers seem to be adjusting for the addition of Cooks, but I think it’s going to open up Lamb for less double teams. Noah Brown and Michael Gallup were the other two top options in the Dallas receiver corps last season, but Cooks is certainly a cut above both players.
Plus, Prescott missed time which hurt Lamb’s numbers at first as he established chemistry with Rush.
If CeeDee can stay healthy for 17 games, I think he can push 1,300 yards again and soar past this season-long prop.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.