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Cowboys vs. 49ers prediction and odds for NFL divisional round (Expect plenty of points)

By Iain MacMillan

Dec 24, 2022; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) celebrates with Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Michael Gallup (13) after scoring a touchdown during the first half against the Philadelphia Eagles at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 24, 2022; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) celebrates with Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Michael Gallup (13) after scoring a touchdown during the first half against the Philadelphia Eagles at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Dallas Cowboys will get a chance to exorcise their demons on Sunday when they head to San Francisco to take on the 49ers in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs.

As I’m sure you remember, the Cowboys lost to the 49ers in the Wild Card Round last year, suffering a 23-17 defeat.

Will they get their revenge this time around?

Let’s dive into the betting odds for the game and then I’ll give you my best bet.

Cowboys vs. 49ers odds, spread, and total

Cowboys vs. 49ers betting trends

  • Cowboys are 7-2 straight up in their last nine games
  • The UNDER is 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last five road games
  • Cowboys are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in January
  • 49ers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games
  • 49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games
  • 49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games against NFC opponents
  • The OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.

Cowboys vs. 49ers prediction and pick

I think the spread is set at the right number in this game. If you want to take the Cowboys at +3.5, I wouldn’t argue against it, but I think there’s more value on the total.

I think the OVER is the play in this one. Neither defense has been as dominant as they were early in the season. The 49ers defense has allowed 22.5 points per game over their last four contests, while the Cowboys defense has allowed 21.75 points per game over that same stretch.

Also, the offenses for both teams should have a stylistic advantage against the opposing defense. For example, the weakness of the 49ers defense is their secondary. They’re 11th in the NFL in opponent yards per pass attempt, and they’ve been particularly bad in this area as of late, allowing 8.2 yards per throw over their last three games.

Dak Prescott and the Cowboys receiving core is more than capable of taking advantage of the 49ers in this area.

Meanwhile, let’s be honest, the Cowboys have struggled to stop the run this season, ranking 17th in the league in opponent yards per carry. What do the 49ers do well? Run the ball.

Let’s also point out the obvious. These two teams rank fourth and fifth in points per game, scoring a combined average of 55 points per contest, well above the set total for Sunday’s game.

Give me the OVER in this NFC showdown.

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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