Five different draft scenarios for the Cowboys (up to the third round):
Round one – Javon Kinlaw
Round two – Antoine Winfield, safety, Minnesota
Round three – Troy Pride Jr., cornerback, Notre Dame
Round one – K’Lavon Chaisson
Round two – Jalen Raeger, wide receiver, TCU
Round three – Jeremy Chin, safety, S. Illinois
Round one – CJ Henderson
Round two – Kyle Duggar, safety, Lenoir-Rhyne
Round three – Chase Claypool, wide receiver, Notre Dame
Round one – Jerry Jeudy (I think Jeudy is the most likely of the three top receivers to fall to 17. But it could be either Lamb or Ruggs. This scenario works equally well with any of them.)
Round two – Jaylon Johnson, cornerback, Utah
Round three – Akeem Davis-Gaither, LB, Appalachian State
Scenario five – None of the premium players are available, but Dallas is able to trade back 5-10 spots and pick up an extra third-round pick.
Round one – Trevon Diggs, cornerback, Alabama
Round two – Justin Madubuike, defensive tackle, Texas A&M
Round three – Devin Duvernay, wide receiver, Texas
and Jeremy Chin, safety, S. Illinois
You might have noticed the luck factor with the first-round pick. Dallas would have to get lucky for any of the first four choices to make it to pick 17.
Similarly, it would be lucky for another team to want to trade up, because starting around Dallas’s pick, the talent level evens out for the next round or so. Nevertheless, given the multitude of possibilities, I think it’s likely Dallas gets lucky in one of these or a similar way.
From the second round on, I’ve thrown luck out the window and stuck pretty close to what’s likely. I only chose players projected to be drafted right around this pick. I looked at a number of big boards from a variety of sources for ideas, including The Bleacher Report, Sports Illustrated, The Sporting News, and CBS Sports.
So, what have we learned from these different draft pictures?