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Cowboys vs Jaguars prediction and odds for Week 15 (Trap Game Alert!)

Adam Weinrib
Adam Weinrib

The Landry Hat

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - AUGUST 29: Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Jacksonville Jaguars reacts prior to an NFL game against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium on August 29, 2021 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

Following their Thanksgiving Day beatdown of the New York Giants (in the second half), the Dallas Cowboys’ schedule gave them three consecutive bizarre battles with non-rivals who reside quite a bit outside the team’s current sphere of relevance.

First came the Colts, who were led by Matt Ryan and Jeff Saturday until the hourglass ran out in the fourth quarter. Then came the Texans, who battled far harder than most anticipated, but couldn’t stop Dallas from gaining 98 all-important yards on the final drive of the game.

Now, it’s time for the Cowboys to travel to Jacksonville and take on the Jaguars, a team that sits at 5-8, but in a far friskier place than they occupied last season with Urban Meyer in charge.

The Jags are now on the outside looking in of the playoff picture, but have an outside shot to make the dance if they can run the table and watch the Titans spiral. Hopefully, the Cowboys can put a stop to that narrative quickly.

Cowboys vs Jaguars Odds, Spread, Moneyline for Week 15

As of Tuesday morning, the Cowboys are -4.5 road favorites traveling to Jacksonville (according to FanDuel); the Jaguars, for reference, are coming off a fairly healthy 36-22 of the Tennessee Titans that has upended the playoff picture slightly, for the time being.

Dallas is -115 to cover that -4.5 spread, while the Jaguars are -105 to get within five points. On the moneyline, Dallas is -225 to win, while the Jags are +188 to come away victorious. That’s a (sigh) solid bet, considering Dallas is nearly locked into the No. 5 seed and the Jaguars have plenty to play for within their division.

Cowboys vs Jaguars Prediction and Preview for Week 15

Trap Game Alert for sure, as the Cowboys head home to take on the Philadelphia Eagles on Christmas Eve following this brief sojourn in unfamiliar territory.

While Trevor Lawrence didn’t rise to immediate stardom in Year 1, he looks the part of a top QB this season now that he’s escaped Meyer’s shadow. 20 touchdowns against six picks looks a hell of a lot better than 12:17, a league-leading interception total as a rookie.

That said, Jacksonville hasn’t earned their reputation as a frisky defense. This isn’t Myles Jack in the AFC Title Game anymore; the Jags are 27th in the NFL in yards allowed per game, though they’re 14th in yards allowed on the ground and middle of the pack in points against (15th, 22.6 per game).

Dallas’ patchwork secondary must shut down Lawrence to win, and will have to rely on tertiary receiving options like Noah Brown again if the running game gets bottled up. Predicting a narrow Cowboys win, 23-21, with Lawrence’s final drive stalling at the 50.

**Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.**

Adam Weinrib

Adam Weinrib

Adam Weinrib is a Content Director on the FanSided network, and has been the co-editor at Yanks Go Yard and Dodgers Way for 4 years. He also co-hosts The Baseball Insiders Podcast twice weekly, alongside FanSided MLB insider Robert Murray, as well as the Yanks Go Yard Podcast. Previously, he was a Senior Editor at 12up.com, and has been covering MLB and NFL for eight years. Previously, he was a headline and features contributor at ClickHole and Onion Sports, as well as the Associate Producer of the ESPN 30 for 30 film "Believeland". An avowed fan of the New York sports teams -- specifically the Yankees -- as well as the North Carolina Tar Heels, you can find Adam complaining mid-game on Twitter, as well as on Facebook, Instagram, and LinkedIn if the game goes really poorly.