Now for the picks (there’s no system, no computer model, no clairvoyance, just good old fashioned guessing):

I like Carolina receiving 6.5 points against the Giants.  Carolina is my pick to win the NFC South.  I love their attitude, I love their personnel, and while I think the Giants will rebound this season, I can easily see Carolina winning in NY.

Loser pick:  There were 9 turnovers in the game, which practically makes it unpredicatable.  This is why you don’t bet on the NFL.

The second game I like are the Jets giving up 2.5 to the Ravens.  It’s not a secret that I do not like the Jets for the 2010 season as a Super Bowl contender.  So this won’t come as a surprise that I have them outright losing to the Ravens.  Take the money line, don’t take the money line.  Put a lock on it, don’t put a lock on it.  Either way.

Winner pick:  The big question is whether the Jets offense will be more productive against a weaker defense. Probably, because they couldn’t be much worse than they were against the Ravens.

This seems too good to be true.  Cincinnati getting 5.5 points against New England.  New England who has a variety of young players filling in due to injury.  A team that notoriously hides injuries has a list of 11 players either probable or questionable.  I like New England over the course of the season to win, but logic says to play Cincy.  That’s why I say avoid the game.  If it’s too good to be true, it is.  Other games that sound too good to be true are Dallas giving up only 3.5 to Washington, and San Diego giving up only 4.5 to the Chiefs.

I’ll keep tabs of my picks throughout the season and if I can be 10% better than a buffalo nickel, I’d be pretty satisfied.

This is a break even week, though I will be happy to mention that I told people not to throw good money after bad picks.  I’m 3-0 in my keep your money in your wallet picks!  Whoo!  Nothing ventured, nothing lost.

Former Dallas Cowboys safety Roy Williams has finally found a team.

Williams agreed to terms with Cincinnati, and will join with former Cowboys defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer and former Cowboy Tank Johnson.

Williams, a first-round draft pick out of Oklahoma in 2002, was one of four safeties in franchise history to make the Pro Bowl five times or more, joining Cliff Harris, Mel Renfro and Darren Woodson.

The former Sooner recorded 611 tackles and 19 interceptions with the Cowboys before a fractured forearm found Williams a spot on the sidelines.

Personally speaking, I’m sad to see Roy go. Is it because I own a Roy Williams jersey? Perhaps.

But it’s why I got that jersey that I’m really sad to see Roy go.

I remember the Roy Williams of old, the strong safety that patrolled the middle of the field and had receivers scared to come across the middle and the special teams star that relished in delivering punishment.

But I won’t be sad to see the Roy Williams of recent years go. He hasn’t been the same since we switched to the 3-4 defense. He’s actually had to cover people, which is something that Williams doesn’t really excel at. In fact, he downright stunk at covering people. Some might say that Williams’ recent downturn is due to the lack of a rangy free safety to cover his tail like Darren Woodson did, but I think that big, hard-hitting safeties are being phased out of the pro game.

Or being moved to middle linebacker.

So good luck at rediscovering some coverage skills or making the switch to inside backer in Cinci, Roy. I’ll be rooting for you.