Experts Wrong, Cowboys WON’T Draft Safety At 16

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Nov 9, 2013; College Station, TX, USA; Texas A&M Aggies quarterback Johnny Manziel (2) and wide receiver Mike Evans (13) before the game against the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Campbell-USA TODAY Sports

THE FORTUNE 15

To clarify, I’m not saying these 15 players will all be selected in the top 15 selections. NFL drafts rarely follow common logic as talent evaluations and needs vary vastly.

What I am saying is if ANY of these players fall to Dallas’ 16th selection, Jerry will either select him or wisely trade the pick to a very willing customer.

QB:  Blake Bortles , Teddy Bridgewater , Johnny Manziel

All 3 QB’s will easily be gone by 16, without question.  Each is rated as the #1 QB in the draft by at least one of the 32 teams.

WR:  Sammy Watkins ,  Mike Evans , Marqise Lee , Kelvin Benjamin

Excellent combines by these guys, with Mike Evans blooming into a star.  He and Watkins are surefire top 15 selections.

Lee also showed well and remains graded above the safeties.  Benjamin is a 6’5, 240 size freak at WR, and ran a 4.61 40-yard dash.

Dallas is less settled at WR in Jerry’s mind than safety (I’ll explain later).  Watkins and Evans would absolutely become Cowboys if they fell to 16.

If those 2 are gone and Jerry doesn’t like either Lee or Benjamin, another very eager team would come calling.

OT:  Greg Robinson , Jake Matthews , Taylor Lewan

These 3 offensive tackles being in huge demand isn’t even in question.  I wouldn’t be shocked if all went in the Top 12, they are rock solid tackles.

DE:  Jadeveon Clowney

Once in a decade type talents like Clowney will never make it past the top 3 picks. His 4.53 40-yard dash was mind blowing for a 6’5, 266 pound man.

LB:  Anthony Barr , Khahlil Mack , C.J. Mosley

Each one of these LB’s grades well above the safeties, Dallas would select any of them first.  Sean Lee is movable to the outside if needed to adjust around Mosley inside.  Superior talent will trump bigger need.

CB:  Justin Gilbert 

The top rated CB in the draft turned in a sickening 4.37 40-yard dash, while benching 20 reps of 225 pounds.  Gilbert was every bit as advertised, long gone by 16.

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Tags: Dallas Cowboys NFL Combine NFL Draft Safety

  • Scott.

    Good article and I hope your right about the d line pick more important than safety.the only disagreement I have is manzeil. Jerry would draft him within the first 10 seconds of the clock starting if he’s there at 16. The headlines and marketing would be far too hard for Jerry to pass up.

  • Reid Hanson

    Great breakdown Brad!

  • ctcowboy1968

    Let’s hope you are correct. IMO, the first pick must be a DT. Jernigan, Hageman, Donald. Maybe trade back to mid 20′s still get one of them. If Lewan is there, take him. He would be a day 1 starter and set the bookends for the OL for the next 10 years. Mosley would be a nice pick up since our LBs can’t stay healthy.