Unfortunately, it appears the stars did not align for the Cowboys to draft Manziel this year. Some have “Johnny Football” as the first pick in the NFL Draft, which is owned by the Houston Texans. Using the below trade value chart provided by draftcountdown.com, the cost to obtain the number one pick is 3,00o points.
The Cowboys’ first round pick at #16 is only worth 1,000 points! Therefore, in theory, it would cost you three number one picks to move up that far into the draft. As a good example of this, let’s take a look at the Robert Griffin trade from 2012.
The Washington Redskins, who had the 6th overall pick in the 2012 NFL draft, wanted to move up just four spots to select fellow former Heisman Trophy winner and Baylor quarterback Robert Griffin III. In order to obtain the St. Louis Rams #2 pick, the Redskins gave them their first-round selections in 2012 (6th), 2013 (16th), and 2014 (2nd), as well as their 2012 second-round selection (39th). According to the chart, Washington overpaid by 4,710 points as their was only a 1,000 point difference in value initially. But you have to also remember they were probably having to outbid other teams too.
To move up four spots in the first round, the Redskins gave up three first round picks and a second rounder. How much more would the Cowboys have to give up to move up 15 spots?!?! The bidding would probably start at three first rounders. That is unless they can pull off some front office magic, like they did themselves in 2012.
Dallas traded their first round pick (14th) and their second round pick (45th) to the St. Louis Rams for their newly acquired 6th pick overall to draft LSU cornerback Morris Claiborne. According to the chart, the Rams pick was worth 1,600 points. The Cowboys gave them a total of 1,550 points. But the difference could be that St. Louis called them and not the other way around. This means if Dallas gets a call, it could be on.
But, there are some other factors to consider. If Dallas truly wanted Manziel, then Romo’s days in Dallas are certainly numbered. If Romo was offered in the trade, it could affect the rate of exchange tremendously. Names like Miles Austin and DeMarcus Ware could also be thrown in to sweeten the deal.
Another factor that could aid the Cowboys would be the draft status of Manziel himself. Currently being called an undersized prima donna by many media experts, Manziel’s stock could fall in the draft. But teams hungry for quality quarterback play like Jacksonville, Cleveland and Oakland will probably not let him drop past them. If Manziel drops enough, Dallas could swop in and grab him like they did with Claiborne.
Bottom line: It would cost the Cowboys too much of their future to get Manziel unless he falls in the draft. And even if he does, Dallas has too many other needs to address this year.
Sorry, Johnny. But there is a bright side. You’ll be a free agent in four years. So there is still hope you’ll wear the star, one day.