FIRM EDGE OVER EAGLES
A win in the finale over the Philadelphia Eagles would give the Cowboys a series sweep and the head-to-head tie-breaker.
In order to topple the 8-8 Cowboys, the Eagles would need a 9-7 or better record.
Sitting at 4-5 now, another loss to Dallas would give them no less than 6 total losses. In this simulation, that moves them to 4-6 at the moment.
To achieve the required 9-7 mark, the Eagles must gather a minimum of 5 wins over their remaining 6 games (non-Cowboys).
Road: Green Bay (minus Rodgers) , Minnesota
Home: Washington, Arizona, Detroit, Chicago
Sure it is possible to lose only 1 of those 6 games, yet highly unlikely. For a team already with 5 losses in 9 contests, do we really see them taking 3 of 4 from the potent NFC North.
The top 3 teams in the NFC North have a combined 15-9 record. The division overall is 2nd in the NFC in combined record (16-16).
If Dallas beats Philly in the finale to reach 8-8, it’s a giant longshot these Eagles win 5 of 6 of their other remaining games to acquire a 9-7 record.