Dec 23, 2012; Arlington, TX, USA; Dallas Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett reacts to a play during the game against the New Orleans Saints at Cowboys Stadium. The Saints beat the Cowboys 34-31 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Jason Garrett: A Gloomy Forecast for the Dallas Cowboy Head Coach

The upcoming season will be an important one for Jason Garrett. Many have speculated that if Garrett does not lead the team to the playoffs, he will be fired. This is the misfortune of being the Dallas Cowboy’s head coach.

Every year Jerry Jones expects excellence out of his team; though in recent years, the Cowboys have failed to see much success. We all know Jerry can be quite impatient. There have been eight head coaches of the Cowboys ever since Jerry bought the team in 1989. On average, the Cowboys hire a new coach every three years. Coincidentally, this upcoming season will be Garrett’s third full season and possibly last as the head coach of the Cowboys.

Dec 2, 2012; Arlington, TX, USA; Dallas Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett during the third quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles at Cowboys Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

The future does not look bright for Garrett. This offseason was abnormally uneventful for the Cowboys. Fans usually expect numerous free agent signings, but this year Justin Durant Will Allen, and Anthony Hargrove were the only new players that the Cowboys signed. Durant will compete for the Cowboy’s strong outside linebacker position, while Allen and Hargrove will provide depth for their respective position.

The lack of activity in free agency was a result of the limited cap space the Cowboys had to work with. The Cowboys had to restructure many contracts to get under the cap, and as a result the Cowboys could not fill in their holes with FA this year.

Now let’s talk about the draft. There has been mixed reactions to this year’s draft class. I won’t touch on that, but I think we can all agree that the Cowboys came out of the draft with only one new starter. Travis Frederick, our first round pick, will most likely be our starting center for the 2013 season.

If we look at our other picks, they will find their way onto the field but I don’t expect them to have an immediate impact on the team. Gavin Escobar has to sit behind Witten. Terrance Williams will be behind Austin, Bryant, and Harris. J. J. Wilcox can compete to be the starting safety, but he is a rather raw prospect. B.W. Webb will be playing behind Claiborne, Carr, and Scandrick. Joseph Randle has Murray in front of him. Finally, DeVonte Holloman could also compete for a starting linebacker position, but right now I see Durant winning the starting position. Don’t get me wrong, the rookies can still contribute to the team this year, but it’s safe to say that most of them will only play in a limited role.

From the draft and free agency, the Cowboys really only got two new starters to their team. In addition, the whole defense might take a step back since we are going back to a 4-3 defensive scheme. The Cowboys have a lot of players who has never played in a 4-3 scheme at the professional level. As a result they may struggle from the scheme change, though it is impossible to predict who will and who won’t.

The bottom-line is that every team in the NFL is trying to improve during the offseason. When comparing the rosters of other teams, the Cowboys have barely improved from last season.

This isn’t necessarily Garrett’s fault, but it’s the unfortunate situation that he is stuck with. Any owner would lower their expectation in this situation. However, it is doubtful that Jerry will do so. As stated earlier, Jerry always expects excellence. If Garrett cannot provide it this season, he may be heading to the unemployment line next season.

I’ve been fairly negative for most of this article, so let’s look on the bright side. Last year, the Cowboys were often trailing in the fourth quarter. They would be down by a touchdown or two, but I never saw them give up hope. I credit this to Garrett. He motivated the team to step up when they needed to and get the win. You can’t measure a team’s determination to win, but if you could I believe the Cowboy’s determination last year would’ve been near the top.

For the 2013 season, Garrett will need to bring this motivation again if he wants to keep his job. The odds are against Garrett, but he has shown that he has the ability to beat the odds. Will he do so? Only time will tell.

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Tags: Dallas Cowboys Head Coach Jason Garrett

  • The BIGGEST Cowboys fan.

    Holy. I can feel it. This writer is the next big thing.

  • disqus_kLJwdEdnOL

    To me the biggest bright spot for the Cowboys has been Garrett. Although he has made some coaching errors I don’t think you will find many other coaches that don’t. It is truly unfortunate that the person who will fire Garrett if the Cowboys don’t win is the same person whose poor management will have contributed the most to a losing season.

    • Kerrie Wong

      I completely agree with you. Garrett is still learning and has made a fair share of mistakes as a head coach. However, last year he really showed that he has a lot of promise in him.

    • SharksBreath

      1st quarter offensive ranking. 30th. 2nd quarter offensive ranking. 26.

      1st half offensive ranking. 28th.

      The Jets were better in each quarter and the half. That stat seems to be the Mendoza line for keeping your coach.

      Every team that finished below the Jets in 1st half scoring fired their coach.

      Every team but us. Garrett has been here for 7 years.

      To be fair you have to count his years as head assistant coach.

      To act like he just got here three years ago would be fair. If he wasn’t here for 7 years. He’s not getting better. He’s actually getting worst.

      When your starting QB is 33 you don’t have time for a coach to learn on the job. You need someone who’s ready to win.

      Can anyone honestly say Garrett is ready to be a Superbowl head coach. He can’t even get this team in the playoffs.

  • Old Frog

    I like JG. It’s not his fault the boss can’t figure out how to build a dominating Offensive Line to protect the quarterback and open running lanes for the backs.

    • SharksBreath

      It maybe his fault. Where was he when we were drafting Felix Jones. He loved the fact he didn’t mind sharing the ball. For a 1st round draft pick. I was kinda done with him right there. Where was he when we left the 2008 draft with two RB’s after we just signed Barber and didn’t get a WR which everyone knew we needed. Which led directly to the RW trade. Which led directly to the 2009 draft and no O-lineman being selected.

      Jason Garrett has been right in the mix of things when we were making all those shiny picks instead of building an O-Line.

      He doesn’t get a pass.

  • frank

    He has got to be the most conservative coach the Cowboys have ever had. He sticks to his game plan until they are behind 2 TD’s, which I believe is predictable, I can only image how a defensive coach prepares for the Cowboys, I can sleep well this week! Perhaps this is the reason they have been behind 2 or 3 TD’s before the half. The only reason he has won most of the games is credit to Romo, which is running for his life 90% of the time trying to secure a win. I do not believe he is an average coach at best. Look at his time management, conservative play calling, plus he will go down as being the only coach to ice his own Kicker!

    • Ken

      His special teams coach actually iced the kicker. If your coordinator tells you to call a time out you should listen but it was actually not Garrett that wanted to call that timeout.

  • rangerider

    What was Landry’s record when given his 10 year contract? That seemed to work out well for Dallas. I think Red will be a fine coach. I thought 3 years ago that this current season would be a SB year, but letting go of Ryan–which was OK with me—might have changed things or might not have:-)

  • Martin Pance

    Kiffin goes into an office job in a couple years while still helping out Marinelli who takes over the defense and assistant head coach position. Lovie Smith becomes new Head Coach. Garrett go to work for Gruden and the Eagles in 2015, after the Chip Kelly failed experiment is over in just 2 short seasons.

  • dutch

    Garrett is toast after this year face it. Jones is like the children of today not my fault and always points fingers at others assuming he has provided them with everything to be great. Take care Jason, good luck wherever you end up.