Cowboys Essentially Eliminated From Playoffs (99.9%)

by Cowboys

Despite being 3-1 in their last four games, the Dallas Cowboys surge is simply too little too late.  There are two wild card playoff spots in the NFC which are presently occupied by one 9-3 team (New  Orleans Saints) and three 8-4 teams (Philadelphia Eagles, New York Giants, and the Green Bay Packers).  Unfortunately for the Cowboys, they do not own the head to head tie breaker against the Packers.  Consequently the Cowboys wild-card pulse has been extinguished.

The Cowboys could still win the NFC East division if the Giants and Eagles, who are both at 8-4, were to lose the remainder of their games.  There is one big problem with that – the Giants and Eagles play against each other on December 19.  Even a tie would place them at 8.5 wins securing their advantage over the Cowboys.

There is an incredibly remote chance.  .1% is better than 0%.  It would involve the Seahawks winning the West, the Rams finishing at 8-8 along with the Cowboys, Eagles, and Packers.

So there you have it.  The Cowboys have a statistically insignificant chance to make the playoffs.  Though Sunday’s game against the Indianapolis Colts was easily one of the most entertaining games of the year.  While the Cowboys likely won’t be playing come mid-January, the games aren’t necessarily any less entertaining.

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Since the Giants play against Philly in the final four weeks of the season it means Dallas can't win their division (Dallas is 4-8 while both the giants and Eagles are 8-4).

The only hope that Dallas has is for both Greenbay and Philly to lose all four remaining games. Folks, that aint happening.

btw: Greenbay plays the 2-10 Lions this week.

If the Cowboys win out and it's determined that they would have made the playoffs had they won one more game, I'm gonna go find Roy Williams and slap him silly. That BUM singlehandedly cost us that game against the Saints. $#%@!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Can't blame Roy for that loss. In fact, he was one of the players earlier in the season who was performing well but the team around him wasn't. Why not blame Alex Barron for the holding penalty which brought back Roy Williams' game-winning TD earlier in the year?

There is too much that the Cowboys had to overcome this season to blame it all on one fumble. If they get to 8-8, I will still consider it a HUGE accomplishment considering what they've been through.

I love it - How 'bout dem Cowboys!!!!

Joe,

If the Seahawks finish 8-8 they will have 7 conference wins and eliminate Dallas and everyone else unless they win the division, so they can't help Dallas. St. Louis can also finish 7-9 or 6-10, too. Or they can go 8-8, beat the Seahawks and one other NFC team, and Seattle can go 9-7, and Dallas would still be alive.

Looking at the remaining schedules for Philly (@NY, DAL(2), Min), GB (@DET, @NE, NYG, CHI) and TB (@WAS, DET, SEA, @NO), it looks like the season hinges on the Detroit Lions.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/playoffscenario?algori...

Nick,

Here you go. Here are the games that are significant if the Cowboys have absolutely any chance to get into the playoffs.

With the presumption that the Cowboys win out, the Packers finish with 8 wins as well as either the, Seahawks, Rams or the Bucs.

Week 14:
St. Louis must beat New Orleans
Week 15:
Kansas City must beat St. Louis
Week 16:
St. Louis must beat the 49ers
Week 17:
Seattle must beat St. Louis

There are some other scenarios, but the season apparently hinges upon St. Louis.

The Cowboys are still technically alive. The Giants still play the Eagles and the Packers, while the Eagles and Packers have already played. So, for the Cowboys to get in, the Giants would have to win the division, the Cowboys would earn the tie-breaker over the Eagles with a season sweep, which eliminates the Eagles in a tie-breaker situation. Then it goes to conference tie-breakers. At 8-8, it's conceivable that Tampa Bay could join Green Bay and Dallas at 8-8. TB hasn't played either team, and DAL loss to GB is not part of this tie-breaker. Now it goes to conference record and it's possible all teams could go 6-6 in conference. Next would be W/L % in common games. However you need 4 common games, and I think the only common opponent is Detroit. Then comes strength of victory which can't be determined until all games are played. So, Dallas has not been eliminated.

Touche' Nick... but I am inclined to believe that none of that is a realistically possible. But you are correct, if every start aligns just right, there is the .0001% chance they are still alive. If I recall correctly, anything less than 1% would be considered statistically insignificant.

yesssssssss...after my team (the eagles) lost to the cowboys 3 times last year you would have thought it would of taken us a couple more years to get where the cowboys were at, but with another great season of football the philadelphia eagles show yet again why the are a top 5 franchise in this league and a superbowl contenders every single year. GOO BIRDS!!!!!!!!!

Go ahead and gloat. The Eagles are leading the Giants by virtue of having beaten them previously and also having a 1 game advantage in the division record.

But Chicago owns the tiebreaker against the Eagles as do the Packers. The rejuvenated Cowboys play you twice in the next four weeks. While the playoffs are no longer and issue, it wouldn't be outside the realm of reason that the Cowboys will sweep the Eagles. We did it last year and we are playing only a little worse than the team last year at the same time.

So enjoy it while you can. And if the Eagles happen to beat the Cowboys... we can take solace in the fact that we are getting a higher draft pick which may mean the difference between a future hall of famer or a future insurance salesman (bust).