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A Second Chance at a First Impression: Roy Williams Edition


By: Joe D.

The Roy Williams trade has been a collosal failure.  The Dallas Cowboys paid too much for so little production in the past two years.  He was injured in the early part of his tenure with the Cowboys and he is not the #1 WR that Jerry Jones believed he was receiving.  Compound that with his difficulty getting on the same page as Tony Romo and his drops and fumbles and you will find one player who has been vilified justifiably by fans and the media.

Now take a step back.  Take a deep breath.  Rethink Roy Williams for 2010.  If you are still holding your breath, let it out.  Consider the Cowboys offense.  In order of productivity and explosiveness you have Miles Austin, Felix Jones, Jason Witten, Marion Barber, Dez Bryant, Patrick Crayton, Roy Williams, Kevin Ogletree, Tashard Choice, and Martellus Bennett.  That is in a plethora of offensive weapons at the hands of Tony Romo.

Less than half of the offensive plays will be running plays where Roy Williams will play a role.  The other half of plays will be pass plays.   At best, Tony Romo will connect on 70% of his passes, though his career best is 65.3%.  That means that there will be roughly 350 receptions logged by the Cowboys offense in one year.

Cowboys fans hope Austin can get close to 100 catches in 2010, not only for productivity reasons, but to confirm the claim that he is a #1 WR.  Pencil in Witten for 70 catches and there are only 180 receptions left for the remainder of the offense.  Presume the RB’s get 60 receptions for screens and checkdown passes and the number goes down to 120 left.  If Roy Williams happens to play up to his potential of a #1 WR and gets 90 receptions, that would leave only 30 for Bryant, Crayton (or Hurd), Ogletree, and Bennett (and that’s not even considering Deon Anderson’s or John Phillips’s contributions).

The point is, be realistic.  With a team that has so many weapons, no one will have incredible numbers, except for Romo.  I’m not a fantasy football guy, but alter your perception of what you expect from Roy Williams.  I watched several repeats of games (Chargers, all three Eagles games, the Saints, etc.) and what you find in retrospect is Williams actually played well.  The football was going to the open man and not being forced to one player (remember those ridiculous reverses Owens ran in 2008).

If Roy Williams catches the ball when it hits his hands, GREAT!  If Roy Williams gets some positive yardage after the catch, GREAT!  If Roy Williams doesn’t fumble the ball, GREAT!  Williams doesn’t have to put up great numbers to be great in this offense.  Take off the hate tinted glasses, and give him a second chance to make that first impression.  He will surprise you.

Tags: Dallas Cowboys Dez Bryant Felix Jones Jason Witten Jerry Jones Kevin Ogletree Marion Barber Martellus Bennett Miles Austin Patrick Crayton Roy Williams Tashard Choice Tony Romo

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